Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

侧壁式气垫船水压场试验研究

在拖曳水池中对侧壁式气垫船的水压场进行了系统测量,得到不同水深、不同航速和不同横向位置水底扰动压力系数的纵向通过特性曲线,分析总结了侧壁式气垫船水压场规律.     

基于自适应累量算法的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法

提出一种新的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法.该方法利用高阶累量对高斯噪声的抑制作用,首先使用基于自适应累量算法的FIR滤波器对接收信号进行滤波消噪处理,以提高信噪比;然后再对滤波输出信号进行滑动功率谱检测.实测数据处理结果表明了该方法的稳健性和有效性.     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

风场的科学计算可视化在导弹射击中的应用

在导弹射击时,消除风会对导弹飞行造成不利的影响,因此基于可视化分析的研究模型、流程等,利用科学计算方法直观分析优点对风的大小和方向进行分析,并采用开放图形接口对实验风场数据进行了三维图形绘制以提高导弹打击目标的精度,对实际中导弹的风场阻力研究有一定的指导意义.     

基于混沌振子列的微弱舰船轴频电磁场信号频率检测

针对远程探测频率未知的舰船轴频电磁场这一难题,提出了一种基于混沌振子列的微弱信号频率检测方法,通过该方法能有效地将强复杂背景噪声下的微弱轴频电磁场的频率检测出来.然后,讨论了不同阻尼比对系统性能的影响,并通过对比分析得出最优阻尼比.最后,用该方法对舰船轴频电磁场信号进行处理,结果证明了该方法的有效性.     

布尔函数的Walsh谱绝对值分布及其性质研究

提出并研究了布尔函数的Walsh谱绝对值分布.指出布尔函数Walsh谱绝对值分布在仿射变换下的不变性,计算了n(n≤5)元布尔函数的Walsh谱绝对值分布,研究了Walsh谱绝对值分布与Walsh谱支撑和Walsh谱中非零取值个数以及其他一些密码学难题的联系,最后研究了布尔函数的Walsh谱绝对值分布的大小.     

复合材料结构传热分析的新的高阶热层合理论研究

提出了新的高阶热层合理论及相应的有限元模型．新的高阶热层合理论比作者最初提出的一阶热层合理论［１］前进了一大步,它有效克服了一阶热层合理论中存在的计算缺陷．大量数值算例表明了高阶热层合理论的精确有效性．算例还对铺设角和纵厚比对层合板温度场的影响进行了分析,并得到了一些有意义的结论．     

JTIDS系统扩频码的优选及扩频图案的设计

首先介绍了联合战术信息分发系统(JTIDS)的一般概念,进而针对它的抗干扰措施———直接序列扩频的扩频码的优选及扩频图案的设计,提出了合适的算法,并用C语言在微机上仿真实现。实验结果证明优选的码字质量高,生成速度快,此方面的仿真实现逼近JTIDS,有利于对JTIDS进行深入研究,从而对它实施有效干扰。     

设备管理系统的排队论分析

该文应用排队论的理论分析了设备损修系统中最优设备的解法。